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The BE basketball schools are breaking away and the remaining football schools may or may not try and form a new conference. This could be a seismic event for the Gang of 5 (4) conferences.
So I'd imagine Boise State and San Diego State will try and go back west. Would the other teams try and form a new conference and lose their autobids in every sport for 5 years? Or would they try and go to C-USA and Sun Belt? The Sun Belt has more spots. C-USA has added a lot already. They have added La Tech, UTSA, UNT, MTSU, FAU, FIU, Charlotte, and Old Dominion... maybe more if I forgot any.
Would these schools try to come to the Sun Belt?
I think its been established no school is coming to the belt if they can help it. Hopefully this might stave off us LOSING more schools, though.
Or, it may serve as a catalyst for finally dissolving the Belt. Without USM/UAB in the conference to block us, we stand an OK chance of being called up.
This is SO interesting to me. We gotta hang tight. I've been kinda worried about what might happen to USA in all this, but this COULD be good for us. I'm not sure yet. Can you imagine UConn at the Mitchell Center though?
This post was edited by SkullyMaroo 16 months ago
If Big East dissolves, the following football schools will be affected:
Boise St (13)
What is stopping these schools from banding together to create a new conference? There's 13 of them already, and 10 of them ready for next season.
No bowl ties, TV money, or auto-bids for a year or two, I think. Going to be a pretty big road block for some schools.
If I was CUSA, I'd be looking at the agreements with these schools to see what legal ramifications there may be for dropping them, especially the transitional schools.
There's no reason to add UTSA if you can get Houston, no reason to UNT if you can get SMU, no reason to add FAU if you can get UCF, etc.
CUSA could be big winners here if they're ready to jump.
There will be legal ramifications though. C-USA can't just drop these teams. There would be lawsuits out the rear-end I'd imagine. What about UNCC and Old Dominion, which is FBS only with this invite. Now it's rescinded? Same is kind of true for UTSA albeit they are coming from the WAC. Then schools have put money into becoming a C-USA member. I don't think it's feasible they could drop these schools without MAJOR ramifications.
Keeping the football schools together would not require the Big East to dissolve. They would just increase the number by sending out invitations that would get them to 14 or 16 and with what they have now and what they could get they would keep the auto bids and the name. The basketball conf. created would be so strong that the auto bid thing would not be an issue. I am not sure however even with Boise, South Florida, Houston, U. Conn. Cinncinati and SDSU that they would remain a BCS league. They would still be light years ahead of CUSA in both baskeball and football with an outside chance with the right additions of remaning BCS. The possibility alone makes them attractive.
It's possible though that there are clauses that would allow CUSA to terminate membership before theses schools actually become members. It's very possible MTSU, FAU, etc. haven't even signed contracts.
And it's also possible CUSA would be willing to lose some money in litigation to have a stronger conference, thus making more money in the long run.
If all this were to happen and the Big East were to dissolve the A-Ten would clean up. Unfortunately I am too dumb to see anything good coming out of this for USA.
At this point, any realignment that occurs where nothing bad happens to USA, something good happened.
There's a lot of question as to who has the rights to the "Big East". It's hard to imagine what legal right USF and Cincy would have to the BE compared to Marquette, Providence, St. John's etc.
If the Catholic 7 have it, which many believe they do as the founders of the league, then the remaining football schools are no longer the BE. If they are no longer the BE, then they are a new conference which has a lot of ramifications - no bowl tie-ins, no autobids (for 5 years), no TV contracts, no league advertising contracts/sponsorships, etc.
If that's the case, and you're one of the teams that just lost it's conference, it's "look out for numero uno" time. Suppose you're ECU and CUSA offers you the chance to get back in, what would you do? Stick it out with this new league and hope it's still together in 5 years? Or get your athletic department is a much more stable situation?
If it reaches that point, it'll be more about teams getting off a sinking ship than it will be about having enough football playing schools left to form a league.
So maybe the Mayans were just college football fans.
I've been working under the assumption that the C7 would be able to dissolve the league. That might not be the case.
If it's not, this might not change things much.
However, there's still a chance Boise, SD St and Cincy end up elsewhere, which would put the BE back in poaching mode.
Yes, the latest word is that two football schools would also have to vote to dissolve the league, which won't happen. The BB schools will leave in 27 months so they won't have to pay an exit fee and start their own league (They also get time to get their share of the exit fees others have paid). In that time the new invitees will have joined and put in enough time that they'll be able to keep autobids or at least only be without them a season or two.
The loss of the BB schools will affect the TV contract the BE is trying to negotiate, so that may encourage Boise St and SDSU to look at going back to the MWC.
With or without that move, look for more schools to be invited to the BE and that roll downhill to the SBC.
I'm not saying it would happen, but if I was Cincy and i had an offer to move the BigXII (for example) and voting to dissolve would allow me to collect a larger share of the buyout money coming in from the schools that have already left, I'd vote to dissolve in a heart beat.
And if I was Rutgers and Louisville (and still legally had a vote) and voting to dissolve the league, would keep me from paying exit fees, I'd do it in a heart beat.
But if you dissolve the league, there are no more exit fees. That's what happened with the WAC when they tried to collect from Fresno State and the rest of those defectors.
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